Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 6-2
Athletic vs Eibar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.2%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.7%
4-0
12.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.7%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
7%
1.8%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
EIB
1 - 1
ATH
11%
20%
70%
|
86 | 36 | 50 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
ATH
1 - 1
BET
72%
18%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1984 |
MAL
0 - 1
ATH
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
OSA
1 - 2
ATH
44%
26%
30%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
ATH
0 - 0
ELC
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
EIB
2 - 0
ARE
81%
14%
5%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
EIB
1 - 1
ATH
11%
20%
70%
|
36 | 86 | 50 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
EIB
1 - 0
GER
84%
12%
4%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
AUR
1 - 1
EIB
39%
30%
31%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
EIB
2 - 0
BKE
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |