Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 2-2
Athletic vs RC Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.1%
3.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
RSO
2 - 1
ATH
51%
24%
24%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
ATH
2 - 2
ZAR
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
DEP
2 - 2
ATH
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
ESP
1 - 0
ATH
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1978 |
ATH
2 - 1
ATM
57%
22%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
RC Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
DEP
1 - 1
MAL
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
GDE
2 - 1
DEP
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
DEP
2 - 2
ATH
24%
24%
52%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
DEP
5 - 1
ALG
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
MUR
1 - 0
DEP
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |