Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 6-2
Athletic vs Cultural Leonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.3%
Win probability
3.79
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.5%
5-0
7%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
7%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7%
3.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
ATH
3 - 0
VAD
86%
9%
5%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1956 |
ALA
0 - 3
ATH
24%
22%
53%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
ATH
1 - 0
FCB
63%
19%
19%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
HER
0 - 3
ATH
21%
22%
57%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
ATH
2 - 2
DEP
86%
9%
6%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cultural Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
CUL
0 - 1
FCB
19%
23%
58%
|
61 | 90 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
HER
3 - 1
CUL
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
CUL
1 - 2
DEP
35%
23%
42%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
MUR
3 - 1
CUL
68%
17%
15%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
CUL
2 - 4
ATM
28%
23%
48%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |