Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 2-5
Athletic vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
ATH
2 - 1
ELC
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1966 |
CRV
5 - 0
ATH
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
SAB
1 - 0
ATH
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
ATH
1 - 0
ATM
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1966 |
ZAR
2 - 0
ATH
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1966 |
CRV
5 - 0
ATH
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1965 |
FIO
3 - 1
CRV
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1965 |
CRV
0 - 4
FIO
49%
23%
29%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1964 |
GLA
3 - 1
CRV
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
CRV
4 - 2
GLA
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |