Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 12-3
Athletic vs Logroño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89%
Win probability
3.8
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.5%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.9%
4-0
9%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.2%
3.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1931 |
LOG
0 - 6
ATH
23%
22%
55%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1931 |
ATH
4 - 0
RUN
81%
11%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1931 |
RUN
2 - 2
ATH
38%
22%
40%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1931 |
SAB
3 - 1
ATH
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1931 |
ATH
4 - 0
SAB
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Logroño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1931 |
LOG
0 - 6
ATH
23%
22%
55%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1931 |
LOG
3 - 0
CAS
50%
22%
28%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 May. 1931 |
CAS
2 - 0
LOG
67%
18%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1931 |
LOG
4 - 0
VAD
44%
23%
34%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 May. 1931 |
VAD
0 - 0
LOG
71%
16%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |