Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Athletic vs Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1929 |
CAS
2 - 2
ATH
29%
25%
47%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1928 |
ATH
4 - 0
RCF
84%
11%
6%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1928 |
RCF
1 - 1
ATH
24%
24%
52%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1928 |
ATH
7 - 1
CEL
64%
18%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1928 |
CEL
2 - 1
ATH
49%
22%
28%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1929 |
CAS
2 - 2
ATH
29%
25%
47%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1928 |
ELC
0 - 2
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1928 |
CAS
5 - 0
ELC
41%
24%
35%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +3 |
| 16 Dec. 1928 |
LEO
2 - 1
CAS
58%
20%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1928 |
CAS
4 - 2
LEO
52%
22%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |