Athletic vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
5º
14º
6º
9
1º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
11 | 91 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
1º
|
15 | 90 |
2º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 75 |
3º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 74 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 65 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 60 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 58 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 52 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
6º
|
9 | 52 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 50 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 45 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 43 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
20º
|
1 | 42 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 42 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 42 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 39 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 36 |
17º
|
11% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 35 |
18º
|
13% | |
|
19º
|
2 | 30 |
19º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 30 |
20º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
12% | 0.5% |
|
Europa League
|
16.5% | 2.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
22.5% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
49% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
LEG
0 - 2
ATH
18%
24%
58%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
UDL
2 - 3
ATH
19%
25%
56%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 1
ATM
31%
25%
44%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
VCF
57%
24%
19%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCB
2 - 1
ATH
69%
19%
12%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 1
VAD
54%
24%
23%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OSA
3 - 2
CEL
36%
25%
39%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 3
CEL
63%
20%
17%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 1
VCF
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
ALA
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |