Athletic vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
ATH
3 - 1
RAC
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1974 |
CAL
1 - 0
ATH
24%
26%
50%
|
82 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
ELC
0 - 0
ATH
33%
31%
36%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
ATH
2 - 1
UDL
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
VCF
0 - 1
ATH
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
MUR
2 - 2
CEL
51%
28%
21%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1974 |
CEL
2 - 0
CDG
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
CEL
1 - 0
GRA
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
CAS
1 - 1
CEL
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
CEL
2 - 1
RMA
37%
29%
35%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |