Athletic vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13%
10.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
RMA
5 - 1
ATH
57%
20%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
ATH
3 - 2
FCB
67%
17%
16%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
ATH
7 - 0
GIM
82%
11%
8%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
ALC
0 - 4
ATH
40%
23%
37%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
ATH
5 - 1
OVI
75%
14%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
VCF
7 - 1
CEL
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
CEL
4 - 0
ESP
67%
17%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
ATM
3 - 1
CEL
71%
15%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
CEL
1 - 1
SEV
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
SPO
3 - 1
CEL
42%
22%
35%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |