Athletic vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
3.57
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
6.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
FCB
0 - 2
ATH
45%
22%
33%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
ATH
4 - 0
ESP
77%
13%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ATH
28%
21%
51%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
ATH
3 - 2
RAC
81%
11%
8%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
BET
0 - 0
ATH
31%
23%
46%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
CEL
2 - 0
ESP
49%
20%
32%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
RAC
6 - 2
CEL
64%
17%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
CEL
2 - 0
SEV
52%
20%
29%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
RMA
2 - 1
CEL
81%
11%
7%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
CEL
4 - 0
HER
58%
18%
24%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |