Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 7-4
Athletic vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
4.01
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.7%
6-0
4%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.8%
5-0
6%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.9%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
7.3%
4.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1936 |
ATH
0 - 1
RMA
70%
15%
15%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
ATH
2 - 0
OSA
86%
9%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
RMA
2 - 2
ATH
61%
18%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
ATH
5 - 2
FCB
77%
13%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
RAC
2 - 1
ATH
45%
21%
34%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
CEL
5 - 0
JFC
78%
12%
10%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
GIR
2 - 0
CEL
34%
23%
44%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
CEL
6 - 1
ARE
70%
15%
15%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
ZAR
2 - 1
CEL
61%
19%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
CEL
2 - 0
MUR
71%
15%
14%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |