Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 7-2
Athletic vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1924 |
CEL
1 - 1
ATH
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1923 |
ATH
1 - 0
EUR
84%
11%
6%
|
85 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1923 |
ATH
2 - 0
RSO
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1923 |
RSO
0 - 0
ATH
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1923 |
ATH
5 - 0
RMA
65%
18%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1924 |
CEL
1 - 1
ATH
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |