Athletic vs CE Europa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.72
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.2%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.1%
4.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
ALA
1 - 4
ATH
27%
23%
50%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1931 |
ATH
7 - 1
RAC
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1931 |
RSO
1 - 0
ATH
40%
22%
37%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
ATH
12 - 1
FCB
63%
19%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1931 |
RUN
2 - 3
ATH
40%
23%
37%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CE Europa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
EUR
0 - 3
RMA
15%
16%
69%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1931 |
RUN
4 - 3
EUR
69%
16%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1931 |
FCB
0 - 2
EUR
85%
10%
6%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
EUR
1 - 2
RAC
38%
22%
40%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1931 |
ALA
2 - 0
EUR
61%
19%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |