Athletic vs CE Europa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
RMA
2 - 3
ATH
60%
20%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
ATH
4 - 0
RAC
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
ATH
6 - 1
ATM
68%
17%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
FCB
1 - 1
ATH
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
ATH
5 - 2
RUN
70%
16%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CE Europa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
EUR
2 - 0
ATM
36%
22%
42%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
EUR
0 - 1
RUN
39%
22%
39%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
RAC
6 - 0
EUR
59%
19%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
EUR
1 - 2
RMA
15%
16%
69%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1930 |
ESP
1 - 2
EUR
86%
9%
5%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |