Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 13-0
Athletic vs CD Mungia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
95.1%
Win probability
4.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.5%
+10
0.5%
9-0
1.2%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.5%
8-0
2.6%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
<0%
+8
3.2%
7-0
4.8%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.1%
+7
6%
6-0
7.8%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
10.1%
5-0
10.9%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
14.7%
4-0
12.7%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
18%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
3.4%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
1.6%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
3.4%
1%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
0.8%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
2-4
0%
-2
0.1%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
BET
0 - 0
ATH
37%
27%
37%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1980 |
CDM
0 - 5
ATH
8%
17%
75%
|
83 | 27 | 56 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
ATH
3 - 1
ZAR
72%
17%
12%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
ALM
4 - 2
ATH
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
ATH
2 - 1
FCB
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Mungia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
CDM
1 - 1
TOL
56%
26%
18%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1980 |
CDM
0 - 5
ATH
8%
17%
75%
|
27 | 83 | 56 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
ALA
2 - 0
CDM
71%
19%
10%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
CDM
3 - 1
EJE
66%
21%
13%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
ZAR
2 - 1
CDM
69%
20%
11%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |