Athletic vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
SSC
0 - 1
ATH
17%
22%
61%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
ESP
3 - 2
ATH
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
ATH
4 - 1
ATM
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ATH
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
ATH
1 - 1
FTC
74%
15%
12%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
ALH
0 - 1
MAL
25%
21%
54%
|
71 | 27 | 44 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
MAL
1 - 4
FCB
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
RMA
1 - 0
MAL
82%
12%
6%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
MAL
1 - 0
CEL
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
MAL
4 - 1
ANT
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |