Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-0
Athletic vs Cartagena F.C. UCAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.9%
Win probability
3.82
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.9%
7-0
3.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4%
6-0
5.9%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.6%
5-0
9.3%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.4%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
5.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.2%
1.7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1983 |
ATH
3 - 1
CAD
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1983 |
ATH
2 - 0
VCF
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
MAL
0 - 0
ATH
38%
26%
35%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1983 |
CFC
0 - 3
ATH
21%
24%
56%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
ATH
2 - 0
BET
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
CAS
1 - 2
CFC
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
CFC
2 - 1
CEL
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1983 |
CFC
0 - 3
ATH
21%
24%
56%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
REC
1 - 0
CFC
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
CFC
3 - 3
RMC
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |