Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 6-2
Athletic vs Cartagena F.C. UCAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1972 |
ATH
1 - 1
ESP
64%
23%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
RSO
1 - 0
ATH
45%
26%
28%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
ATH
0 - 0
MAL
66%
21%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
CCF
0 - 1
ATH
30%
29%
41%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
ATH
1 - 0
BUR
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1972 |
CUL
4 - 2
CFC
68%
17%
15%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
CFC
5 - 0
AGD
82%
13%
6%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
LIN
1 - 1
CFC
24%
29%
47%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1972 |
CFC
3 - 1
BET
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
JOV
2 - 6
CFC
31%
29%
41%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |