Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 2-1
Athletic vs Calella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
3.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
ATH
2 - 0
CEL
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
ATH
3 - 1
RAC
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1974 |
CAL
1 - 0
ATH
24%
26%
50%
|
82 | 45 | 37 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
ELC
0 - 0
ATH
33%
31%
36%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
ATH
2 - 1
UDL
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Calella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
CAL
1 - 0
TER
56%
26%
19%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
VIN
3 - 1
CAL
52%
27%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1974 |
CAL
1 - 0
ATH
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 82 | 37 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
CAL
0 - 2
VIL
62%
25%
14%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
VAL
1 - 0
CAL
63%
25%
13%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |