Champions League Last 16
Global 6-5
Athletic vs Budapest Honved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.61
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
6%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.4%
4.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
CEL
3 - 0
ATH
26%
23%
52%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
ATH
5 - 0
ZAR
90%
7%
3%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
RMA
3 - 0
ATH
60%
19%
21%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
ATH
3 - 1
VCF
79%
12%
9%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
RSO
3 - 4
ATH
27%
23%
51%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |