Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 1-3
Athletic vs Beroe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
ATH
2 - 1
ZAR
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
ATH
2 - 3
SPO
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
BER
3 - 0
ATH
48%
23%
29%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1973 |
MUR
0 - 0
ATH
36%
29%
35%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
ATH
1 - 0
GRA
69%
20%
11%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1973 |
OFK
1 - 0
BER
41%
26%
32%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
BER
1 - 2
ETA
76%
16%
9%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
BER
3 - 0
ATH
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1973 |
SSO
1 - 1
BER
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
BER
1 - 2
YAN
76%
15%
9%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |