Athletic vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
64.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ATH
0 - 2
GET
43%
27%
31%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
CDT
3 - 3
ATH
20%
25%
55%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ESP
1 - 1
ATH
41%
26%
33%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
ELC
1 - 1
ATH
20%
26%
54%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ATH
1 - 1
CEL
53%
24%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FCB
2 - 1
LEV
87%
9%
4%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
FCB
5 - 0
LEG
90%
7%
2%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
VCF
2 - 0
FCB
20%
23%
57%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
IBI
1 - 2
FCB
4%
14%
82%
|
93 | 58 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
FCB
1 - 0
GRA
91%
7%
2%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |