Athletic vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
55.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
DEP
1 - 2
ATH
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
ATH
1 - 0
ZAR
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
BET
1 - 1
ATH
45%
27%
29%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
ATH
0 - 3
VCF
35%
29%
36%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
ATM
1 - 0
ATH
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2006 |
FCB
2 - 1
ARS
60%
21%
19%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
SEV
3 - 2
FCB
25%
27%
48%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
FCB
2 - 0
ESP
77%
15%
8%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
CEL
0 - 1
FCB
20%
25%
54%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
FCB
1 - 0
CAD
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |