Athletic vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
42.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
AMU
1 - 2
ATH
14%
24%
62%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
RSO
4 - 2
ATH
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
CDT
2 - 3
ATH
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
ATH
1 - 1
OSA
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
RAY
4 - 2
ATH
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
NOV
3 - 2
FCB
16%
22%
63%
|
90 | 54 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
FCB
2 - 2
ATM
72%
16%
12%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
WAR
0 - 1
FCB
21%
24%
55%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
FCB
3 - 0
WAR
80%
14%
7%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
ZAR
1 - 1
FCB
31%
25%
43%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |