Athletic vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
36.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1962 |
VCF
1 - 0
ATH
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
ATH
2 - 2
VCF
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
ATH
2 - 0
MAL
84%
10%
6%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1962 |
MAL
1 - 1
ATH
37%
24%
39%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
ATH
1 - 1
ELC
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1962 |
FCB
1 - 1
VCF
87%
8%
5%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1962 |
VCF
6 - 2
FCB
38%
23%
39%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1962 |
FCB
4 - 1
CRV
90%
7%
4%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1962 |
FCB
1 - 3
RMA
63%
18%
20%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1962 |
CRV
0 - 2
FCB
36%
23%
41%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |