Athletic vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
ATH
6 - 0
OVI
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
SEV
5 - 0
ATH
39%
24%
37%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
ATH
5 - 2
ATM
73%
15%
12%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
OSA
1 - 4
ATH
36%
24%
41%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
ATH
5 - 0
ELC
83%
11%
7%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
ZAR
3 - 1
FCB
19%
22%
59%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
FCB
1 - 0
ESP
92%
6%
3%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
VCF
2 - 0
FCB
25%
24%
51%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1959 |
FCB
3 - 1
BEO
95%
4%
2%
|
93 | 43 | 50 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
FCB
6 - 0
BET
94%
4%
2%
|
93 | 72 | 21 | 0 |