Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Athletic vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
4.5%
5-3
1.4%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
14.1%
14.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1951 |
FCB
0 - 0
ATH
69%
15%
16%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1951 |
SPO
1 - 2
ATH
40%
21%
39%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
ATH
3 - 1
SPO
88%
7%
5%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1951 |
ATH
5 - 1
ESP
84%
9%
7%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
ESP
4 - 2
ATH
53%
19%
28%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1951 |
FCB
0 - 0
ATH
69%
15%
16%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1951 |
FCB
4 - 1
CAT
90%
7%
3%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
CAT
1 - 3
FCB
30%
22%
49%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1951 |
FCB
3 - 0
SEV
76%
13%
11%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
SEV
1 - 2
FCB
63%
17%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |