Athletic vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.4%
14.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
RMA
2 - 0
ATH
57%
20%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1943 |
ATH
4 - 1
GRA
83%
10%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
SEV
2 - 0
ATH
53%
21%
27%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
ATH
5 - 1
VCF
66%
17%
17%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
ATH
8 - 1
OVI
77%
13%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
FCB
6 - 2
OVI
71%
15%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1943 |
ESP
1 - 3
FCB
49%
21%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
FCB
5 - 0
ATM
61%
19%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
CEL
4 - 2
FCB
51%
21%
29%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
FCB
7 - 1
CAS
73%
15%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |