Athletic vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.2%
12.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
ESP
3 - 4
ATH
41%
22%
37%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
ATH
1 - 1
ZAR
93%
5%
2%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1939 |
RAC
3 - 0
ATH
40%
22%
39%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
ATH
6 - 1
BET
82%
11%
7%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
SEV
3 - 3
ATH
38%
23%
40%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
ZAR
3 - 1
FCB
26%
21%
53%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
FCB
2 - 0
BET
70%
17%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1939 |
ATM
3 - 0
FCB
43%
23%
35%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
FCB
4 - 1
VCF
69%
17%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
CEL
1 - 2
FCB
45%
21%
34%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |