Athletic vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4.3%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.4%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
12.5%
10.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
RAC
2 - 1
ATH
45%
21%
34%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
ATH
4 - 1
SEV
84%
9%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1936 |
ATH
5 - 3
HER
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
VCF
1 - 1
ATH
35%
22%
43%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
ATH
3 - 1
ATM
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
FCB
5 - 0
OSA
73%
15%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
RMA
3 - 0
FCB
70%
15%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
OVI
2 - 1
FCB
59%
18%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
FCB
2 - 3
RAC
65%
17%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1936 |
SEV
2 - 1
FCB
43%
22%
35%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |