Athletic vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
3.2%
6-3
0.9%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
4.5%
5-3
1.5%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
16.7%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
11.8%
10.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
3-7
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1935 |
RMA
5 - 2
ATH
55%
20%
26%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1935 |
ATH
4 - 2
RAC
83%
10%
8%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1935 |
SEV
3 - 0
ATH
34%
23%
43%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1935 |
ATH
4 - 1
VCF
81%
11%
8%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
ATH
1 - 2
ESP
80%
11%
9%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1935 |
FCB
2 - 2
ESP
66%
17%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1935 |
OVI
4 - 3
FCB
56%
18%
26%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1935 |
FCB
0 - 0
ATM
73%
15%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1935 |
RSO
2 - 1
FCB
41%
22%
37%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
FCB
4 - 0
BET
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |