Athletic vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.4%
11.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1933 |
RSO
3 - 0
ATH
41%
23%
37%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1933 |
ATH
5 - 1
RMA
73%
15%
12%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1933 |
ARE
2 - 0
ATH
37%
23%
40%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
ATH
5 - 0
ESP
80%
12%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1933 |
OVI
2 - 2
ATH
36%
23%
41%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1933 |
FCB
6 - 3
RAC
67%
17%
17%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1933 |
FCB
5 - 2
VCF
72%
15%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1933 |
RSO
2 - 0
FCB
51%
21%
28%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
FCB
1 - 2
RMA
58%
20%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1933 |
ARE
3 - 1
FCB
47%
22%
32%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |