Athletic vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.8%
12.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1933 |
RSO
2 - 4
ATH
44%
23%
34%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1932 |
ALA
0 - 2
ATH
32%
24%
45%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1932 |
ATH
0 - 2
ESP
78%
12%
10%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1932 |
ATH
3 - 1
ARE
83%
11%
7%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1932 |
RAC
0 - 1
ATH
35%
24%
41%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1933 |
FCB
1 - 1
RMA
66%
18%
16%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1932 |
BET
2 - 1
FCB
37%
24%
39%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1932 |
FCB
5 - 2
ARE
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1932 |
VCF
2 - 2
FCB
40%
23%
36%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1932 |
FCB
2 - 0
ALA
79%
13%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |