Athletic vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
16.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1931 |
RUN
1 - 5
ATH
42%
22%
36%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1931 |
ATH
3 - 2
ALA
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1931 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATH
42%
24%
35%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
ATH
3 - 1
BET
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
ATH
6 - 3
LOG
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1931 |
ESP
0 - 3
FCB
44%
21%
35%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1931 |
FCB
2 - 2
ARE
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1931 |
RUN
1 - 3
FCB
44%
23%
34%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1931 |
FCB
1 - 2
VCF
82%
11%
7%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1931 |
VCF
2 - 2
FCB
31%
23%
47%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |