Athletic vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1931 |
RUN
2 - 3
ATH
40%
23%
37%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1931 |
ATH
5 - 1
ESP
69%
16%
15%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1931 |
RMA
0 - 6
ATH
48%
23%
29%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1931 |
ATH
5 - 2
ARE
78%
13%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1931 |
EUR
2 - 1
ATH
27%
23%
50%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1931 |
RMA
0 - 0
FCB
48%
23%
29%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1931 |
FCB
1 - 1
ALA
85%
10%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1931 |
RUN
1 - 1
FCB
42%
23%
35%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1931 |
FCB
6 - 2
ESP
69%
16%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1931 |
ARE
5 - 0
FCB
37%
23%
41%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |