Athletic vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
RUN
1 - 1
ATH
42%
23%
36%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1930 |
ATH
5 - 2
ARE
75%
14%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
ATH
6 - 0
ESP
63%
18%
18%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
RSO
1 - 7
ATH
51%
22%
28%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1930 |
ATH
3 - 0
EUR
80%
12%
8%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
ATM
3 - 2
FCB
34%
23%
43%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1930 |
FCB
4 - 2
RUN
79%
13%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
RAC
2 - 1
FCB
28%
23%
49%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
EUR
0 - 3
FCB
26%
23%
51%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1930 |
FCB
3 - 1
ARE
81%
12%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |