Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 9-5
Athletic vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1930 |
ATH
4 - 0
RUN
76%
14%
11%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
RUN
3 - 3
ATH
41%
23%
37%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
RSO
1 - 1
ATH
43%
23%
34%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
ATH
4 - 1
RSO
74%
15%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
ATH
5 - 1
RAC
78%
13%
10%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1930 |
FCB
4 - 1
ALA
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
ALA
2 - 1
FCB
26%
23%
52%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
FCB
2 - 0
BET
85%
9%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
BET
1 - 1
FCB
24%
22%
54%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
DEP
1 - 3
FCB
24%
22%
54%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |