Athletic vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1929 |
RUN
6 - 3
ATH
43%
24%
34%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1929 |
ARE
1 - 0
ATH
39%
24%
37%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1929 |
ATH
2 - 0
EUR
93%
5%
2%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1929 |
RAC
0 - 4
ATH
40%
24%
36%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1929 |
ATH
9 - 0
ESP
55%
21%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1929 |
FCB
5 - 2
EUR
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1929 |
ATM
4 - 1
FCB
34%
23%
43%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1929 |
FCB
2 - 2
ARE
84%
10%
6%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1929 |
RSO
3 - 0
FCB
38%
23%
39%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1929 |
FCB
1 - 2
RMA
72%
15%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |