Athletic vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1920 |
RVS
0 - 1
ATH
14%
21%
65%
|
84 | 28 | 56 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1920 |
ATH
2 - 1
RVS
91%
6%
2%
|
84 | 28 | 56 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1920 |
ATH
4 - 1
RMA
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1920 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATH
60%
20%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1916 |
ATH
4 - 0
RMA
58%
20%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1920 |
FCB
4 - 4
RUN
89%
8%
3%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1920 |
RUN
0 - 1
FCB
17%
21%
62%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1919 |
FCB
2 - 5
ARE
89%
8%
3%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1919 |
SEV
0 - 3
FCB
46%
23%
31%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1919 |
FCB
4 - 3
SEV
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |