Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-0
Athletic vs Aurrera KE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94.5%
Win probability
4.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.5%
+10
0.5%
9-0
1.1%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.4%
8-0
2.4%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
3%
7-0
4.4%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
5.7%
6-0
7.2%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
9.7%
5-0
10.1%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
14.3%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
3.8%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
1.8%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
3.8%
1.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
OSA
0 - 2
ATH
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
AUR
0 - 2
ATH
9%
21%
70%
|
82 | 32 | 50 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
ATH
3 - 1
ESP
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
VCF
4 - 0
ATH
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1981 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ATH
50%
24%
27%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
AUR
1 - 0
GER
70%
21%
10%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
AUR
0 - 2
ATH
9%
21%
70%
|
32 | 82 | 50 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
BFC
1 - 1
AUR
50%
27%
24%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
SDA
1 - 1
AUR
61%
23%
16%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
AUR
1 - 4
AFT
61%
24%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |