Athletic vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
BET
1 - 1
ATH
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
ATH
1 - 3
ESP
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1997 |
HER
3 - 2
ATH
29%
27%
44%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1997 |
ATH
1 - 0
DEP
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
CEL
0 - 2
ATH
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
ATM
5 - 0
VAD
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATM
65%
19%
15%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1997 |
ATM
0 - 3
CDT
70%
17%
13%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1997 |
RMA
3 - 1
ATM
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1997 |
ZAR
2 - 3
ATM
39%
25%
36%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |