Athletic vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 Oct. 1979 |
ATH
5 - 1
EIB
94%
4%
2%
|
82 | 31 | 51 | 0 |
28 Oct. 1979 |
SEV
3 - 1
ATH
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
21 Oct. 1979 |
ATH
3 - 1
MAL
79%
14%
8%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
14 Oct. 1979 |
BUR
1 - 1
ATH
37%
28%
35%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
30 Sep. 1979 |
ATH
2 - 3
SPO
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 Oct. 1979 |
ATM
0 - 0
UDL
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
21 Oct. 1979 |
ATM
1 - 1
ESP
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
14 Oct. 1979 |
SEV
2 - 2
ATM
37%
27%
36%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
03 Oct. 1979 |
SGD
3 - 0
ATM
80%
13%
6%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
29 Sep. 1979 |
ATM
0 - 0
MAL
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |