Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 0-2
Athletic vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1975 |
ATM
2 - 0
ATH
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
ATH
3 - 1
RSO
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1975 |
RSO
3 - 1
ATH
55%
22%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1975 |
ATH
2 - 0
BET
66%
19%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1975 |
BET
0 - 0
ATH
47%
24%
28%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1975 |
ATM
2 - 0
ATH
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
GRA
2 - 1
ATM
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1975 |
ATM
2 - 0
GRA
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1975 |
FCB
0 - 2
ATM
26%
25%
50%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1975 |
ATM
5 - 0
FCB
85%
10%
5%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |