Athletic vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
15.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
CEL
0 - 1
ATH
36%
23%
41%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
ESP
1 - 0
ATH
37%
24%
39%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
ATH
1 - 0
VAD
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
ATH
1 - 1
UDL
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
SPO
0 - 2
ATH
29%
23%
48%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
ATM
3 - 2
SPO
83%
10%
7%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
ATM
2 - 0
RSO
84%
10%
6%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
RMA
0 - 0
ATM
79%
12%
9%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
ATM
4 - 1
RJA
84%
10%
7%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
FCB
2 - 2
ATM
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |