Athletic vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.8%
12.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
FCB
2 - 0
ATH
79%
12%
9%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
ATH
2 - 2
SEV
74%
14%
12%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
DEP
2 - 0
ATH
32%
24%
45%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
ATH
4 - 0
OVI
88%
8%
4%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
RAC
1 - 1
ATH
40%
23%
37%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
ATM
4 - 1
OSA
85%
10%
6%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
RMA
2 - 1
ATM
71%
16%
14%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
ATM
3 - 0
VCF
57%
20%
23%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
CEL
1 - 0
ATM
44%
22%
34%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
ATM
4 - 1
SPO
78%
12%
10%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |