Athletic vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
17.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1950 |
ATH
4 - 1
VAD
81%
11%
8%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1950 |
VCF
6 - 3
ATH
69%
15%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
ATH
5 - 1
VCF
63%
17%
20%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1950 |
OVI
3 - 5
ATH
42%
21%
36%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
ATH
8 - 2
OVI
80%
11%
9%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1950 |
ATM
2 - 1
LAZ
82%
11%
7%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1950 |
GIR
4 - 2
ATM
53%
20%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1950 |
ATM
1 - 0
RMA
73%
14%
13%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
RMA
6 - 3
ATM
62%
18%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
ATM
4 - 2
MAL
87%
8%
5%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |