Athletic vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.5%
12.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
ALC
3 - 2
ATH
27%
23%
50%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
ATH
3 - 1
ESP
81%
11%
8%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
SPO
0 - 0
ATH
39%
23%
37%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
ATH
4 - 3
SEV
71%
15%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
CAS
4 - 0
ATH
36%
24%
41%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
ATM
3 - 1
RMA
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
ATM
2 - 0
ALC
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
ESP
4 - 3
ATM
46%
24%
31%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
ATM
2 - 0
SPO
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
SEV
3 - 0
ATM
66%
17%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |