Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 7-2
Athletic vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13%
10.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1943 |
ATM
1 - 3
ATH
58%
19%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
CAS
2 - 1
ATH
38%
23%
39%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1943 |
ATH
7 - 0
CAS
82%
11%
8%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1943 |
ATH
2 - 0
BAR
90%
7%
3%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
BAR
1 - 0
ATH
31%
22%
47%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1943 |
ATM
1 - 3
ATH
58%
19%
23%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
RSO
0 - 0
ATM
44%
22%
35%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1943 |
ATM
4 - 2
RSO
79%
12%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1943 |
ATM
8 - 3
MAL
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
MAL
0 - 0
ATM
30%
22%
48%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |