Athletic vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
9.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
HER
1 - 0
ATH
35%
23%
42%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
ATH
0 - 0
ZAR
85%
10%
5%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
VCF
2 - 2
ATH
36%
22%
42%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
ATH
0 - 0
HER
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1940 |
HER
5 - 2
ATH
34%
22%
45%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
ATM
3 - 1
RMA
39%
23%
38%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
MUR
1 - 1
ATM
27%
24%
49%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
ATM
5 - 4
CEL
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1940 |
ATM
7 - 1
ESP
49%
21%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1940 |
ESP
3 - 3
ATM
68%
16%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |