Athletic vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
4%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.1%
11.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
ATM
2 - 1
ATH
53%
20%
27%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
ATH
3 - 0
VCF
79%
11%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
ATH
5 - 3
FCB
76%
13%
11%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
FCB
1 - 0
ATH
45%
22%
33%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ATH
2 - 1
SEV
78%
13%
10%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
ATM
2 - 1
ATH
53%
20%
27%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
ATM
6 - 0
FCB
63%
18%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
ATM
3 - 0
OVI
68%
16%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ESP
2 - 3
ATM
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ATM
3 - 1
SEV
63%
18%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |